Germany, Italy drive euro zone economic sentiment down to 3-year low

Germany, Italy drive euro zone economic sentiment down to 3-year low

Euro zone economic sentiment dropped to its lowest point in nearly three years in June as confidence fell markedly in the bloc’s largest economies – Germany and Italy – European Commission data show.

The Commission said that its main indicator of economic confidence dropped to 103.3 points in June from 105.2 a month earlier, reaching its lowest level since August 2016.

June’s large fall capped a quarter in which sentiment dropped in each month, except May, sending another stark warning over the health of the euro zone economy which is grappling with weak growth and low inflation.

The fall was also bigger than market forecasts of a fall to 104.6.

The largest falls in confidence were recorded in Germany, the biggest economy of the bloc, and Italy, its third major economic power, the data showed.

The indicator in Germany fell by 2.9 points, and in Italy by 1.5 points. Confidence decreased also in France, the Netherlands and Spain.

Sentiment in the industry sector plunged by 2.7 points, the largest drop in about eight years, equalled only by a similar fall in April, the Commission said, as the export-driven sector suffers from global trade tensions.

Business managers were also pessimistic about the euro zone’s services sector, which posted a drop of 1.1 points.

Consumer confidence went down by 0.7 points, but did not affect sentiment in the retail trade sector, which instead rose by a point.

In a separate release, the Commission said that its business climate indicator, which helps point to the phase of the business cycle, declined to 0.17 in June from 0.30 in May for its fourth consecutive monthly drop.

Economists polled by Reuters had predicted a more limited fall to 0.23.

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